In any case, slavery was considered odious Mouse ears and gin kinds of girl shirt by a great many Europeans by 1861, let alone in a future where the Confederacy won its independence and perpetuated slavery for much longer. There would have come a time where the people of those countries would have refused to do business any longer with a slave-holding society. This was one of the reasons why Brazil ended slavery in 1888, the last Western nation to do so. The end of slavery there likely would have occurred anyway, and after Brazil ended it, the CSA would have been the last country in this alternate world still trading with western Europe and allowing slavery. What would have happened, once the Confederacy’s European trade partners threatened the Confederacy with a cordon sanitaire, is that the government of the CSA would have come up with some alternative to slavery.
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The financial markets of Europe gladly would have Mouse ears and gin kinds of girl shirt extended credit to the Confederacy for compensated emancipation (all the better to keep them financially beholden to Europe), while the Confederates would have devised some system, probably very much like Apartheid, where they could have segregated the Blacks from social and political life, but still benefited from their labor at minimum cost. The South’s European friends would have been fine with this since they all did similar things themselves. Outright bondage wasn’t acceptable, but exploitative policies were in the 19th century. This would have occurred sometime between 1890 and 1905, either in an independent Confederacy or in the United States that averted a Civil War.